China vs India vs USA — The Race of Civilisations

In 1900, the United States was rising fast and China was in decline. India was under colonial rule. By 2050, the three largest economies may be unrecognisable compared to today.

Watch the US bubble dominate the 20th century — growing in both wealth and global share while China and India remain comparatively flat under colonialism, civil war, and Maoist economics.

The pivot happens around 1980: China's market reforms begin a growth trajectory without historical precedent. In 40 years, China moves from a low-income country to the world's second-largest economy.

India's surge comes later but is gathering force. By 2030 it is projected to be the world's most populous nation and among the fastest-growing large economies.

The US does not shrink in absolute terms — GDP and living standards continue rising. But its share of global economic output falls as the rest of the world catches up.

The projection to 2050 shows a genuinely multipolar world. This is perhaps the most consequential civilisational shift of our era — and it is visible in the bubbles.

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